Today / Greifswald vs Altglienicke

Greifswald vs Altglienicke Prediction

Sunday, April 26, 2026

Greifswald
PPG 1.00 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Altglienicke
PPG 1.64 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.64) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.0%0-112.4%0-29.6%0-34.9%0-4+2.7%1 1-07.9%1-112.1%1-29.4%1-34.8%1-4+2.6%2 2-03.9%2-15.9%2-24.6%2-32.4%2-4+1.3%3 3-01.3%3-11.9%3-21.5%3-30.8%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.6%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 28.6%
Draw 30.3%
Away win 41.2%
Over 2.5 50.0%
Over 3.5 24.7%
BTTS 52.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 20%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob52.6%

A 41% / xG 1.0-1.5 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%
#2 0–1 12.4%
#3 0–0 8.0%
#4 0–2 9.6%
#5 1–2 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Greifswald1.0
Altglienicke1.5

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 24.7%

Form & verdict PPG

GREIFSWALD · PPG 1.00

ALTGLIENICKE · PPG 1.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.64) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Greifswald (H) 28.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 30.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Altglienicke (A) 41.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Greifswald face Altglienicke on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Greifswald a 29% chance, the draw 30% and Altglienicke 41%, so Altglienicke are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Greifswald and 1.5 for Altglienicke (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Greifswald are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.64 for Altglienicke.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org