Samtredia vs Merani Martvili Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Match Preview & Prediction

Samtredia face Merani Martvili in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Samtredia a 62% chance, the draw 22% and Merani Martvili 16%, so Samtredia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for Samtredia and 1.2 for Merani Martvili (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Samtredia are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.67 for Merani Martvili. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +43.5%. This match finished 1-4.