Today / Denmark - Superliga / Silkeborg vs Randers FC

Silkeborg vs Randers FC Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Relegation Group · Matchday 29 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 12:00

Silkeborg

PPG 1.14 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWLL

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Randers FC

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLWDL

// Model verdict

BTTS 63% chance

Model probability 58.4% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-110.3%0-27.9%0-34.1%0-4+2.2%1 1-07.8%1-112.0%1-29.2%1-34.7%1-4+2.6%2 2-04.5%2-17.0%2-25.4%2-32.8%2-4+1.5%3 3-01.8%3-12.7%3-22.1%3-31.1%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.0%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.4% 36.4% 2.75 -16.4%

Draw 29.9% 29.4% 3.40 +1.7%

Away win 39.7% 40.8% 2.45 -2.7%

Over 2.5 51.6% 57.8% 1.73 -10.7%

Over 3.5 28.8% 35.7% 2.80 -19.4%

BTTS 58.4% 64.5% 1.55 -9.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -4.0%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob58.4%

D 30% / xG 1.2-1.5 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 1–2 9.2%

#3 0–1 10.3%

#4 0–0 6.7%

#5 0–2 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Silkeborg1.2

Randers FC1.5

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.6% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SILKEBORG · PPG 1.14

RANDERS FC · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

63%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.14), Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Win probability 1X2

Silkeborg (H) 30.4%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -16.4%

Draw 29.9%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +1.7%

Randers FC (A) 39.7%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -2.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Silkeborg face Randers FC in Denmark - Superliga on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Silkeborg a 30% chance, the draw 30% and Randers FC 40%, so Randers FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Silkeborg and 1.5 for Randers FC (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Silkeborg are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.14 for Randers FC. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +1.7%. This match finished 2-0.

Silkeborg vs Randers FC Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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