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Armenia - Premier League
Regular Season - 23
Stadion Gandzasar· Kapan
Sunday, April 26, 2026
12:00
Gandzasar
PPG 1.30
3-2
MISS
Shirak
PPG 0.36
Over2.5· -2.3%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
50.4%
Odds: 1.91
EV: -3.7%
Draw
28.9%
Odds: 3.20
EV: -7.5%
Away
20.7%
Odds: 3.80
EV: -21.3%
Model lean:
Home
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
44.4%
Odds: 2.20
-2.3%
Over 3.5
15.7%
Odds: 4.20
-34.1%
BTTS
48.3%
Odds: 1.93
-6.8%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-0
✘
2nd
2-0
✘
3rd
0-0
✘
4th
1-1
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Gandzasar
1.52
Shirak
0.56
Model Suggestion
Home
-3.7%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Home, but EV is -3.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.30) vs P(Home)=50.4%