Today / Geylang vs Lion City

Geylang vs Lion City Prediction

Sunday, April 26, 2026

Geylang
PPG 1.25 · HOME
2 – 1
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY
Lion City
PPG 2.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.75) vs Home AVERAGE (1.25)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-12.4%0-26.0%0-310.2%0-4+55.5%1 1-00.1%1-10.7%1-21.8%1-33.0%1-4+16.3%2 2-00.0%2-10.1%2-20.3%2-30.4%2-4+2.4%3 3-00.0%3-10.0%3-20.0%3-30.0%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 0.9%
Draw 7.2%
Away win 92.0%
Over 2.5 79.5%
Over 3.5 78.3%
BTTS 39.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 81%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-1
xG (home)0.3 xG (away)5.1 BTTS prob39.6%

A 92% / xG 0.3-5.1 / O2.5 80% / NoBTTS 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–5 13.1%
#2 0–4 12.9%
#3 0–3 10.2%
#4 0–2 6.0%
#5 1–5 3.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Geylang0.3
Lion City5.1

COMBINED 5.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.5% · O3.5 PROB 78.3%

Form & verdict PPG

GEYLANG · PPG 1.25

LION CITY · PPG 2.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.75) vs Home AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Geylang (H) 0.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 7.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Lion City (A) 92.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Geylang face Lion City on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Geylang a 1% chance, the draw 7% and Lion City 92%, so Lion City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.3 for Geylang and 5.1 for Lion City (5.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-5. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Geylang are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 2.75 for Lion City. This match finished 2-1.

PredictVantage

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