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Thailand - Thai League 1 logo Thailand flag Thailand - Thai League 1 Regular Season - 28 Rayong Provincial Stadium· Rayong Sunday, April 26, 2026 11:00
Rayong logo Rayong PPG 1.83
1-1 HIT CS2
Lamphun Warrior logo Lamphun Warrior PPG 0.85
Over3.5· +69.0% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 56.2%
Odds: 2.40 EV: +34.9%
Draw 22.8%
Odds: 3.25 EV: -25.9%
Away 21.0%
Odds: 2.65 EV: -44.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.5% Odds: 1.85 +11.9%
Over 3.5 52.8% Odds: 3.20 +69.0%
BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.65 -3.5%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 3-1
4th 2-0
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Rayong
2.62
Lamphun Warrior
1.19

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +11.9% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+69.0%)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.83) vs P(Home)=56.2%

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