Shenzhen face Liaoning Tieren on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shenzhen a 56% chance, the draw 23% and Liaoning Tieren 21%, so Shenzhen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Shenzhen and 1.3 for Liaoning Tieren (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shenzhen are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.25 for Liaoning Tieren.
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=56.0%