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HT16 vs Vorwarts-Wacker Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Hamburg - 32 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 10:30

HT16

PPG 0.93 · HOME

5 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O3.5

Vorwarts-Wacker

PPG 0.92 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 3.5

Combined xG of 6.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.2%0-10.9%0-21.8%0-32.3%0-4+6.3%1 1-00.5%1-12.0%1-23.9%1-35.0%1-4+13.5%2 2-00.6%2-12.1%2-24.2%2-35.4%2-4+14.6%3 3-00.4%3-11.5%3-23.0%3-33.9%3-4+10.5%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-11.4%4+-22.7%4+-33.5%4+-4+9.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.8% — — —

Draw 19.7% — — —

Away win 55.5% — — —

Over 2.5 79.5% — — —

Over 3.5 85.3% — — —

BTTS 65.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 66%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-3

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)3.9 BTTS prob65.5%

A 56% / xG 2.2-3.9 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–3 5.4%

#2 2–4 5.2%

#3 1–3 5.0%

#4 1–4 4.9%

#5 2–2 4.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

HT162.2

Vorwarts-Wacker3.9

COMBINED 6.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.5% · O3.5 PROB 85.3%

Form & verdict PPG

HT16 · PPG 0.93

VORWARTS-WACKER · PPG 0.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.93), Away POOR (0.92)

Win probability 1X2

HT16 (H) 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Vorwarts-Wacker (A) 55.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

HT16 face Vorwarts-Wacker in Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives HT16 a 25% chance, the draw 20% and Vorwarts-Wacker 56%, so Vorwarts-Wacker are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for HT16 and 3.9 for Vorwarts-Wacker (6.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-3. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, HT16 are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 0.92 for Vorwarts-Wacker. This match finished 5-3.

HT16 vs Vorwarts-Wacker Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Match Preview & Prediction

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