S. Sebastian R. face Real Madrid C on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives S. Sebastian R. a 60% chance, the draw 25% and Real Madrid C 15%, so S. Sebastian R. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for S. Sebastian R. and 0.6 for Real Madrid C (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, S. Sebastian R. are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.06 for Real Madrid C. This match finished 1-1.
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=60.2%