Today / CD Coria vs Ilicitano
CD Coria vs Ilicitano Prediction
Sunday, April 26, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 49% / xG 2.2-1.1 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 58%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.0% · O3.5 PROB 42.6%
Form & verdict
CD CORIA · PPG 2.00
ILICITANO · PPG 1.44
Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.44)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
CD Coria face Ilicitano on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives CD Coria a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Ilicitano 25%, so CD Coria are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for CD Coria and 1.1 for Ilicitano (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, CD Coria are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.44 for Ilicitano. This match finished 4-0.