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Xerez D. FC vs Xerez CD Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Group 4 - 33 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 10:00

Xerez D. FC

PPG 1.38 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Xerez CD

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.5%0-112.2%0-24.8%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.7%1-113.2%1-25.2%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.0%2-17.1%2-22.8%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.2%3-12.5%3-21.0%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-10.9%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.9% — — —

Draw 33.6% — — —

Away win 27.5% — — —

Over 2.5 38.0% — — —

Over 3.5 11.9% — — —

BTTS 49.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 58%

ROI 10.3%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob49.5%

H 39% / xG 1.1-0.8 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 15.5%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 1–0 16.7%

#4 0–1 12.2%

#5 2–0 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Xerez D. FC1.1

Xerez CD0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.0% · O3.5 PROB 11.9%

Form & verdict PPG

XEREZ D. FC · PPG 1.38

XEREZ CD · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.38), Away AVERAGE (1.38)

Win probability 1X2

Xerez D. FC (H) 38.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 33.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Xerez CD (A) 27.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Xerez D. FC face Xerez CD in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Xerez D. FC a 39% chance, the draw 34% and Xerez CD 28%, so Xerez D. FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Xerez D. FC and 0.8 for Xerez CD (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Xerez D. FC are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.38 for Xerez CD. This match finished 0-0.

Xerez D. FC vs Xerez CD Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Match Preview & Prediction

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