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Puente Genil vs A. Malagueno Prediction

Unknown League Sunday, April 26, 2026
Puente Genil PPG 1.69
2-1 HIT CS5
A. Malagueno PPG 0.20
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Puente Genil face A. Malagueno on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Puente Genil a 62% chance, the draw 25% and A. Malagueno 14%, so Puente Genil are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Puente Genil and 0.6 for A. Malagueno (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Puente Genil are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 0.20 for A. Malagueno. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 61.5%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 24.6%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 13.9%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 58.3% Odds: —
Over 3.5 31.6% Odds: —
BTTS 49.5% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 3-0
4th 1-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Puente Genil
2.26
A. Malagueno
0.58

Model Suggestion

Home MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.69) vs P(Home)=61.5%

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