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Reus FC Reddis vs Olot Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Group 3 - 33 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 10:00

Reus FC Reddis

PPG 1.81 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Olot

PPG 0.63 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.81) vs P(Home)=55.3%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.1%0-15.4%0-21.8%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-014.9%1-110.0%1-23.4%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.7%2-19.2%2-23.1%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-08.4%3-15.7%3-21.9%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-05.9%4+-14.0%4+-21.3%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.3% — — —

Draw 27.5% — — —

Away win 17.2% — — —

Over 2.5 50.0% — — —

Over 3.5 24.5% — — —

BTTS 49.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob49.5%

H 55% / xG 1.8-0.7 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.7%

#2 1–0✓ 14.9%

#3 1–1 10.0%

#4 0–0 8.1%

#5 2–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Reus FC Reddis1.8

Olot0.7

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 24.5%

Form & verdict PPG

REUS FC REDDIS · PPG 1.81

OLOT · PPG 0.63

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.81) vs P(Home)=55.3%

Win probability 1X2

Reus FC Reddis (H) 55.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Olot (A) 17.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Reus FC Reddis face Olot in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Reus FC Reddis a 55% chance, the draw 28% and Olot 17%, so Reus FC Reddis are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Reus FC Reddis and 0.7 for Olot (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Reus FC Reddis are averaging 1.81 points per game versus 0.63 for Olot. This match finished 1-0.

Reus FC Reddis vs Olot Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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