← Back to picks

Poblense vs Porreres Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 Group 3 - 33 Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla· La Puebla (Sa Pobla) (Mallorca) Sunday, April 26, 2026 10:00
Poblense logo Poblense PPG 2.06
3-1 MISS
Porreres logo Porreres PPG 0.63
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Poblense face Porreres in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Poblense a 61% chance, the draw 30% and Porreres 10%, so Poblense are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Poblense and 0.3 for Porreres (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 31% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Poblense are averaging 2.06 points per game versus 0.63 for Porreres. This match finished 3-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 60.7%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 29.7%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 9.6%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 38.0% Odds: —
Over 3.5 13.2% Odds: —
BTTS 30.7% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 2-0
3rd 0-0
4th 3-0
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Poblense
1.65
Porreres
0.29

Model Suggestion

Home MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.06) vs P(Home)=60.7%

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org