Today / Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 / Girona B vs Torrent

Girona B vs Torrent Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Group 3 - 33 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 10:00

Girona B logo
Girona B
PPG 1.88 · HOME
1 – 0
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME
Torrent logo
Torrent
PPG 0.63 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in GOOD form (1.88), Away POOR (0.63) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-12.5%0-20.9%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-09.4%1-16.5%1-22.3%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.4%2-18.6%2-23.0%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-010.9%3-17.6%3-22.6%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-013.6%4+-19.5%4+-23.3%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 65.6%
Draw 22.4%
Away win 12.1%
Over 2.5 59.0%
Over 3.5 42.8%
BTTS 52.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%
O2.5 69%
BTTS 54%
Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-0
xG (home)2.6 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob52.6%

H 66% / xG 2.6-0.7 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.4%
#2 3–0 10.9%
#3 2–1 8.6%
#4 1–0 9.4%
#5 3–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Girona B2.6
Torrent0.7

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.0% · O3.5 PROB 42.8%

Form & verdict PPG

GIRONA B · PPG 1.88

TORRENT · PPG 0.63

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.88), Away POOR (0.63) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Girona B (H) 65.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Torrent (A) 12.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Girona B face Torrent in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Girona B a 66% chance, the draw 22% and Torrent 12%, so Girona B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Girona B and 0.7 for Torrent (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Girona B are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 0.63 for Torrent. This match finished 1-0.

PredictVantage

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