Today / Tudelano vs Alaves B

Tudelano vs Alaves B Prediction

Sunday, April 26, 2026

Tudelano

PPG 1.94 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Alaves B

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.3%0-113.3%0-26.2%0-31.9%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.6%1-113.5%1-26.3%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-07.4%2-16.9%2-23.2%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.5%3-12.3%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.7%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.6% — — —

Draw 32.8% — — —

Away win 29.6% — — —

Over 2.5 38.0% — — —

Over 3.5 13.3% — — —

BTTS 49.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.5%

D 33% / xG 1.0-0.9 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.3%

#2 1–1 13.5%

#3 1–0 14.6%

#4 0–1 13.3%

#5 2–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tudelano1.0

Alaves B0.9

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.0% · O3.5 PROB 13.3%

Form & verdict PPG

TUDELANO · PPG 1.94

ALAVES B · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.94), Away GOOD (1.80)

Win probability 1X2

Tudelano (H) 37.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Alaves B (A) 29.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tudelano face Alaves B on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tudelano a 38% chance, the draw 33% and Alaves B 30%, so Tudelano are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Tudelano and 0.9 for Alaves B (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tudelano are averaging 1.94 points per game versus 1.80 for Alaves B. This match finished 1-2.

Tudelano vs Alaves B Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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