Coruxo vs Rayo Cantabria Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 Group 1 - 32 Campo do Vao· Vigo Sunday, April 19, 2026 16:00

Coruxo PPG 1.40

3-1 MISS

Rayo Cantabria PPG 1.07

Over2.5· +9.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Coruxo face Rayo Cantabria in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Coruxo a 50% chance, the draw 23% and Rayo Cantabria 27%, so Coruxo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Coruxo and 1.3 for Rayo Cantabria (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Coruxo are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.07 for Rayo Cantabria. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +9.7%. This match finished 3-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.5%

Odds: 1.90 EV: -5.9%

Draw 23.1%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -23.8%

Away 27.4%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -4.1%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.85 +9.7%

Over 3.5 36.9% Odds: — —

BTTS 60.2% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Coruxo

1.79

Rayo Cantabria

1.28

Model SuggestionBTTS  ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away AVERAGE (1.07)