Lusitania FC vs Pacos Ferreira Prediction— Portugal - Segunda Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

Lusitania FC face Pacos Ferreira in Portugal - Segunda Liga on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lusitania FC a 46% chance, the draw 28% and Pacos Ferreira 25%, so Lusitania FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Lusitania FC and 1.0 for Pacos Ferreira (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lusitania FC are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 0.87 for Pacos Ferreira. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +19.6%. This match finished 2-0.