Today / Lee Man vs Eastern SC

Lee Man vs Eastern SC Prediction

Sunday, April 26, 2026

Lee Man

PPG 2.00 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Eastern SC

PPG 0.89 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.4%0-11.7%0-21.0%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-04.4%1-15.1%1-23.0%1-31.2%1-4+0.5%2 2-06.7%2-17.9%2-24.7%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-06.9%3-18.1%3-24.8%3-31.9%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-011.4%4+-113.4%4+-27.9%4+-33.1%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.8% — — —

Draw 22.4% — — —

Away win 16.7% — — —

Over 2.5 65.2% — — —

Over 3.5 61.5% — — —

BTTS 58.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)3.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob58.5%

H 61% / xG 3.1-1.2 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 8.1%

#2 2–1 7.9%

#3 3–0 6.9%

#4 2–0 6.7%

#5 4–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lee Man3.1

Eastern SC1.2

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.2% · O3.5 PROB 61.5%

Form & verdict PPG

LEE MAN · PPG 2.00

EASTERN SC · PPG 0.89

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=60.8%

Win probability 1X2

Lee Man (H) 60.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Eastern SC (A) 16.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lee Man face Eastern SC on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lee Man a 61% chance, the draw 22% and Eastern SC 17%, so Lee Man are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for Lee Man and 1.2 for Eastern SC (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lee Man are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.89 for Eastern SC. This match finished 0-1.

Lee Man vs Eastern SC Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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