Today / Malzenice vs Zvolen

Malzenice vs Zvolen Prediction

Sunday, April 26, 2026

Malzenice

PPG 2.23 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Zvolen

PPG 1.77 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.23) > Away GOOD (1.77)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-18.7%0-25.3%0-32.2%0-4+0.9%1 1-010.1%1-112.4%1-27.6%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.2%2-18.8%2-25.3%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-03.4%3-14.1%3-22.5%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.0%4+-21.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.1% — — —

Draw 32.2% — — —

Away win 29.7% — — —

Over 2.5 50.5% — — —

Over 3.5 27.2% — — —

BTTS 58.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob58.0%

D 32% / xG 1.4-1.2 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 0–0✓ 7.2%

#3 2–1 8.8%

#4 1–0 10.1%

#5 1–2 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Malzenice1.4

Zvolen1.2

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 27.2%

Form & verdict PPG

MALZENICE · PPG 2.23

ZVOLEN · PPG 1.77

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.23) > Away GOOD (1.77)

Win probability 1X2

Malzenice (H) 38.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Zvolen (A) 29.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Malzenice face Zvolen on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Malzenice a 38% chance, the draw 32% and Zvolen 30%, so Malzenice are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Malzenice and 1.2 for Zvolen (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Malzenice are averaging 2.23 points per game versus 1.77 for Zvolen. This match finished 0-0.

Malzenice vs Zvolen Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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