Today / Ingolstadt W vs Mgladbach W
Ingolstadt W vs Mgladbach W Prediction
Sunday, April 26, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 46% / xG 2.2-1.5 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 58%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.5% · O3.5 PROB 49.9%
Form & verdict
INGOLSTADT W · PPG 1.45
MGLADBACH W · PPG 0.73
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.45) > Away POOR (0.73)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Ingolstadt W face Mgladbach W on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ingolstadt W a 46% chance, the draw 28% and Mgladbach W 25%, so Ingolstadt W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Ingolstadt W and 1.5 for Mgladbach W (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ingolstadt W are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 0.73 for Mgladbach W. This match finished 1-2.