Today / Plzen W vs FC Praha W

Plzen W vs FC Praha W Prediction

Sunday, April 26, 2026

Plzen W
PPG 0.75 · HOME
2 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
FC Praha W
PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-12.9%0-22.7%0-31.7%0-4+1.3%1 1-03.5%1-16.6%1-26.3%1-34.0%1-4+2.9%2 2-04.0%2-17.6%2-27.2%2-34.5%2-4+3.3%3 3-03.1%3-15.8%3-25.5%3-33.4%3-4+2.5%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-15.7%4+-25.3%4+-33.4%4+-4+2.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 47.2%
Draw 24.3%
Away win 28.5%
Over 2.5 61.2%
Over 3.5 60.1%
BTTS 60.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 46%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-1
xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob60.7%

H 47% / xG 2.3-1.9 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 6.6%
#2 2–1 7.6%
#3 2–2 7.2%
#4 1–2 6.3%
#5 3–1 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Plzen W2.3
FC Praha W1.9

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 60.1%

Form & verdict PPG

PLZEN W · PPG 0.75

FC PRAHA W · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
40%
NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Plzen W (H) 47.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 24.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
FC Praha W (A) 28.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Plzen W face FC Praha W on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Plzen W a 47% chance, the draw 24% and FC Praha W 28%, so Plzen W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Plzen W and 1.9 for FC Praha W (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Plzen W are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 0.00 for FC Praha W. This match finished 2-1.

PredictVantage

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