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Nojima Stella W vs Cerezo Osaka W Prediction— Japan - WE League

Regular Season - 19 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 05:00

Nojima Stella W

PPG 0.78 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Cerezo Osaka W

PPG 0.22 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.78) > Away POOR (0.22)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-18.1%0-24.4%0-31.6%0-4+0.5%1 1-011.3%1-112.2%1-26.6%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.6%2-19.2%2-25.0%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.3%3-14.7%3-22.5%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-12.5%4+-21.3%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.8% — — —

Draw 29.0% — — —

Away win 25.2% — — —

Over 2.5 50.4% — — —

Over 3.5 26.2% — — —

BTTS 57.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 35%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob57.8%

H 46% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 1–0 11.3%

#3 0–0 7.5%

#4 2–1 9.2%

#5 2–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nojima Stella W1.5

Cerezo Osaka W1.1

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 26.2%

Form & verdict PPG

NOJIMA STELLA W · PPG 0.78

CEREZO OSAKA W · PPG 0.22

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.78) > Away POOR (0.22)

Win probability 1X2

Nojima Stella W (H) 45.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Cerezo Osaka W (A) 25.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Nojima Stella W face Cerezo Osaka W in Japan - WE League on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nojima Stella W a 46% chance, the draw 29% and Cerezo Osaka W 25%, so Nojima Stella W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Nojima Stella W and 1.1 for Cerezo Osaka W (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nojima Stella W are averaging 0.78 points per game versus 0.22 for Cerezo Osaka W. This match finished 3-0.

Nojima Stella W vs Cerezo Osaka W Prediction— Japan - WE League

Match Preview & Prediction

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