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Elfen Saitama W vs A. Niigata W Prediction— Japan - WE League

Regular Season - 19 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 05:00

Elfen Saitama W

PPG 0.56 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

A. Niigata W

PPG 1.78 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.1%0-115.2%0-210.5%0-34.8%0-4+2.2%1 1-09.1%1-112.6%1-28.6%1-34.0%1-4+1.8%2 2-03.8%2-15.2%2-23.6%2-31.6%2-4+0.8%3 3-01.0%3-11.4%3-21.0%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.9% — — —

Draw 31.7% — — —

Away win 40.3% — — —

Over 2.5 44.4% — — —

Over 3.5 18.1% — — —

BTTS 49.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 35%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob49.5%

A 40% / xG 0.8-1.4 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–1 15.2%

#3 0–0 11.1%

#4 0–2 10.5%

#5 1–2✓ 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Elfen Saitama W0.8

A. Niigata W1.4

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.4% · O3.5 PROB 18.1%

Form & verdict PPG

ELFEN SAITAMA W · PPG 0.56

A. NIIGATA W · PPG 1.78

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.78) vs Home POOR (0.56)

Win probability 1X2

Elfen Saitama W (H) 27.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

A. Niigata W (A) 40.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Elfen Saitama W face A. Niigata W in Japan - WE League on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Elfen Saitama W a 28% chance, the draw 32% and A. Niigata W 40%, so A. Niigata W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Elfen Saitama W and 1.4 for A. Niigata W (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Elfen Saitama W are averaging 0.56 points per game versus 1.78 for A. Niigata W. This match finished 1-2.

Elfen Saitama W vs A. Niigata W Prediction— Japan - WE League

Match Preview & Prediction

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