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Ecuador - Liga Pro logo Ecuador flag Ecuador - Liga Pro Regular Season - 11 Estadio George Capwell· Guayaquil Saturday, April 25, 2026 22:00
Emelec logo Emelec PPG 1.40
1-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
LDU Quito logo LDU Quito PPG 1.80
Draw· +2.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.0%
Odds: 2.34 EV: -1.7%
Draw 32.0%
Odds: 3.20 EV: +2.4%
Away 25.9%
Odds: 3.05 EV: -21.0%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 27.7% Odds: 2.25 -37.7%
Over 3.5 11.3% Odds: 4.20 -52.5%
BTTS 35.0% Odds: 1.90 -33.5%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-1
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Emelec
1.06
LDU Quito
0.77

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.40) vs Away GOOD (1.80)

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