I. del Valle vs Leones Norte Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro

Ecuador - Liga Pro Regular Season - 11 Estadio Banco Guayaquil· Quito Saturday, April 25, 2026 19:10

I. del Valle PPG 2.00

2-1 HIT CS5

Leones Norte PPG 0.60

Over3.5· +3.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

I. del Valle face Leones Norte in Ecuador - Liga Pro on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives I. del Valle a 84% chance, the draw 12% and Leones Norte 4%, so I. del Valle are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for I. del Valle and 0.4 for Leones Norte (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, I. del Valle are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.60 for Leones Norte. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +3.5%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 84.4%

Odds: 1.22 EV: +3.0%

Draw 11.9%

Odds: 5.25 EV: -37.5%

Away 3.7%

Odds: 16.50 EV: -39.0%

Model lean: Home

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.8% Odds: 1.83 +2.1%

Over 3.5 33.4% Odds: 3.10 +3.5%

BTTS 28.7% Odds: 2.55 -26.8%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 3-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 4-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

I. del Valle

2.54

Leones Norte

0.37

Model SuggestionHome +3.0% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+3.5%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5/Under 48%

BTTS/No 52%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 1.8%

Bet Hit 53% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.00), Away POOR (0.60) - Strong consensus