Talavera CF vs Real Madrid B Prediction & Tips

Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Group 1 - 34 Estadio El Prado· Talavera de la Reina Saturday, April 25, 2026 19:00

Talavera CF PPG 1.44

1-2 MISS

Real Madrid B PPG 1.00

Home· +15.3% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.2%

Odds: 2.55 EV: +15.3%

Draw 26.0%

Odds: 3.00 EV: -22.0%

Away 28.8%

Odds: 2.70 EV: -22.2%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.9% Odds: 2.05 -1.8%

Over 3.5 26.2% Odds: 3.65 -4.4%

BTTS 51.9% Odds: 1.75 -9.2%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Talavera CF

1.47

Real Madrid B

1.12

Model SuggestionBTTS -9.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -9.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+15.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5/Under 53%

BTTS/No 62%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -35.1%

Bet Hit 35% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.44) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)