Today / France - Feminine Division 1 / Strasbourg W vs Le Havre W

Strasbourg W vs Le Havre W Prediction— France - Feminine Division 1

Regular Season - 21 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 19:00

Strasbourg W logo
Strasbourg W
PPG 1.20 · HOME
2 – 3
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Le Havre W logo
Le Havre W
PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.3%0-17.9%0-24.2%0-31.5%0-4+0.5%1 1-011.2%1-112.1%1-26.5%1-32.3%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.7%2-19.3%2-25.0%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.4%3-14.8%3-22.6%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-12.6%4+-21.4%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 48.0%
Draw 25.5%
Away win 26.6%
Over 2.5 48.5%
Over 3.5 26.7%
BTTS 51.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%
O2.5 44%
BTTS 50%
Score Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-3
xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob51.8%

H 48% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%
#2 1–0 11.2%
#3 2–1 9.3%
#4 2–0 8.7%
#5 0–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Strasbourg W1.5
Le Havre W1.1

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.5% · O3.5 PROB 26.7%

Form & verdict PPG

STRASBOURG W · PPG 1.20

LE HAVRE W · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Strasbourg W (H) 48.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 25.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Le Havre W (A) 26.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Strasbourg W face Le Havre W in France - Feminine Division 1 on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Strasbourg W a 48% chance, the draw 26% and Le Havre W 27%, so Strasbourg W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Strasbourg W and 1.1 for Le Havre W (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Strasbourg W are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.00 for Le Havre W. This match finished 2-3.

PredictVantage

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