Odisha FC vs Mohammedan Prediction— India - Indian Super League

India - Indian Super League Regular Season - 9 Kalinga Stadium· Bhubaneswar Friday, April 17, 2026 14:00

Odisha FC PPG 1.00

1-1 HIT CS3

Mohammedan PPG 0.00

Away· +57.6% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

40% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Odisha FC face Mohammedan in India - Indian Super League on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Odisha FC a 48% chance, the draw 25% and Mohammedan 27%, so Odisha FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Odisha FC and 1.1 for Mohammedan (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Odisha FC are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.00 for Mohammedan. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +57.6%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 47.6%

Odds: 1.53 EV: -27.2%

Draw 24.9%

Odds: 3.75 EV: -6.6%

Away 27.4%

Odds: 5.75 EV: +57.6%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.3% Odds: 1.83 -6.1%

Over 3.5 29.2% Odds: 3.10 -9.5%

BTTS 54.1% Odds: 1.85 +0.1%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Odisha FC

1.58

Mohammedan

1.14

Model SuggestionBTTS +0.1% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS. 
Raw EV leader: Away(+57.6%)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data