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Flandria vs S. Italiano Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 18:30

Flandria logo
Flandria
PPG 1.20 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
S. Italiano logo
S. Italiano
PPG 1.80 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-111.5%0-27.4%0-33.2%0-4+1.4%1 1-010.0%1-112.9%1-28.4%1-33.6%1-4+1.6%2 2-05.6%2-17.3%2-24.7%2-32.0%2-4+0.9%3 3-02.1%3-12.7%3-21.8%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.0%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 32.2%
Draw 27.4%
Away win 40.4%
Over 2.5 43.7%
Over 3.5 22.7%
BTTS 49.1%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%
O2.5 69%
BTTS 66%
Score Hit 63%
ROI 21.9%
Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 24%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob49.1%

A 40% / xG 1.1-1.3 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%
#2 0–1 11.5%
#3 1–0 10.0%
#4 0–0 8.8%
#5 1–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Flandria1.1
S. Italiano1.3

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.7% · O3.5 PROB 22.7%

Form & verdict PPG

FLANDRIA · PPG 1.20

S. ITALIANO · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.80) vs Home AVERAGE (1.20)

Win probability 1X2

Flandria (H) 32.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 27.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
S. Italiano (A) 40.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Flandria face S. Italiano in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Flandria a 32% chance, the draw 27% and S. Italiano 40%, so S. Italiano are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Flandria and 1.3 for S. Italiano (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Flandria are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.80 for S. Italiano. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org