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Macedonia - First League logo Macedonia flag Macedonia - First League Regular Season - 28 Friday, April 17, 2026 13:00
Tikves logo Tikves PPG 1.43
1-4 MISS
Shkendija logo Shkendija PPG 2.46
Over2.5· -6.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 16.7%
Odds: 5.00 EV: -16.5%
Draw 22.9%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -10.7%
Away 60.4%
Odds: 1.53 EV: -7.6%
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.0% Odds: 1.95 -6.4%
Over 3.5 26.3% Odds: —
BTTS 46.3% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1
2nd 0-2
3rd 1-1
4th 1-2
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Tikves
0.81
Shkendija
1.78

Model Suggestion

Away -7.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -7.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.46) vs Home AVERAGE (1.43)

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