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Brown de A. vs V. San Carlos Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 18:00

Brown de A.

PPG 0.50 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

V. San Carlos

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.7%0-113.1%0-28.9%0-34.0%0-4+1.9%1 1-09.4%1-112.8%1-28.7%1-34.0%1-4+1.8%2 2-04.6%2-16.3%2-24.3%2-31.9%2-4+0.9%3 3-01.5%3-12.0%3-21.4%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.6%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.0% — — —

Draw 27.5% — — —

Away win 45.5% — — —

Over 2.5 41.4% — — —

Over 3.5 20.8% — — —

BTTS 46.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 21.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob46.4%

A 46% / xG 1.0-1.4 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 13.1%

#2 1–1 12.8%

#3 0–0 9.7%

#4 1–0 9.4%

#5 0–2 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brown de A.1.0

V. San Carlos1.4

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.4% · O3.5 PROB 20.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BROWN DE A. · PPG 0.50

V. SAN CARLOS · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.50) vs Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Brown de A. (H) 27.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

V. San Carlos (A) 45.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Brown de A. face V. San Carlos in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brown de A. a 27% chance, the draw 28% and V. San Carlos 46%, so V. San Carlos are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Brown de A. and 1.4 for V. San Carlos (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brown de A. are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.00 for V. San Carlos. This match finished 2-1.

Brown de A. vs V. San Carlos Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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