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Nyiregyhaza vs Zalaegerszegi Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Matchday 31 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 17:30

Nyiregyhaza

PPG 1.13 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWDD

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Zalaegerszegi

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLLL

// Model verdict

BTTS 59% chance

Model probability 58.3% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-18.9%0-27.8%0-34.6%0-4+3.0%1 1-06.3%1-111.0%1-29.6%1-35.6%1-4+3.6%2 2-03.8%2-16.7%2-25.9%2-33.4%2-4+2.2%3 3-01.6%3-12.7%3-22.4%3-31.4%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.1%4+-21.0%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.8% 44.2% 2.26 -39.4%

Draw 23.5% 29.4% 3.40 -20.1%

Away win 49.7% 35.2% 2.84 +41.1%

Over 2.5 57.1% 54.1% 1.85 +5.6%

Over 3.5 34.7% 32.3% 3.10 +7.6%

BTTS 58.3% 59.9% 1.67 -2.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 42%

ROI -12.2%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob58.3%

A 50% / xG 1.2-1.7 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 1–2 9.6%

#3 0–1 8.9%

#4 0–2 7.8%

#5 2–1✓ 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nyiregyhaza1.2

Zalaegerszegi1.7

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.1% · O3.5 PROB 34.7%

Form & verdict PPG

NYIREGYHAZA · PPG 1.13

ZALAEGERSZEGI · PPG 1.43

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

Chance this pick lands

59%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.13) vs Away AVERAGE (1.43)

Win probability 1X2

Nyiregyhaza (H) 26.8%

ODDS 2.26 · IMPLIED 44.2% EV -39.4%

Draw 23.5%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -20.1%

Zalaegerszegi (A) 49.7%

ODDS 2.84 · IMPLIED 35.2% EV +41.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Nyiregyhaza face Zalaegerszegi in Hungary - NB I on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nyiregyhaza a 27% chance, the draw 24% and Zalaegerszegi 50%, so Zalaegerszegi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Nyiregyhaza and 1.7 for Zalaegerszegi (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nyiregyhaza are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 1.43 for Zalaegerszegi. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +41.1%. This match finished 2-1.

Nyiregyhaza vs Zalaegerszegi Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Match Preview & Prediction

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