Nyiregyhaza vs Zalaegerszegi Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Hungary - NB I Regular Season - 31 Városi Saturday, April 25, 2026 17:30

Nyiregyhaza PPG 1.13

2-1 HIT CS5

Zalaegerszegi PPG 1.43

Away· +41.1% ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Nyiregyhaza face Zalaegerszegi in Hungary - NB I on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nyiregyhaza a 27% chance, the draw 24% and Zalaegerszegi 50%, so Zalaegerszegi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Nyiregyhaza and 1.7 for Zalaegerszegi (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nyiregyhaza are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 1.43 for Zalaegerszegi. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +41.1%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 26.8%

Odds: 2.26 EV: -39.4%

Draw 23.5%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -20.1%

Away 49.7%

Odds: 2.84 EV: +41.1%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 57.1% Odds: 1.85 +5.6%

Over 3.5 34.7% Odds: 3.10 +7.6%

BTTS 58.3% Odds: 1.67 -2.6%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 2-1 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Nyiregyhaza

1.23

Zalaegerszegi

1.75

Model SuggestionBTTS -2.6% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-2.6%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.13) vs Away AVERAGE (1.43)