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KF Tirana vs Partizani T. Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Albania - Superliga logo Albania flag Albania - Superliga Regular Season - 33 Arena Kombetare· Tirana Saturday, April 25, 2026 17:00
KF Tirana logo KF Tirana PPG 1.00
2-1 HIT CS5
Partizani T. logo Partizani T. PPG 1.38
Home· +19.1% ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
65% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

KF Tirana face Partizani T. in Albania - Superliga on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KF Tirana a 52% chance, the draw 26% and Partizani T. 22%, so KF Tirana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for KF Tirana and 0.9 for Partizani T. (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KF Tirana are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.38 for Partizani T.. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +19.1%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.8%
Odds: 2.30 EV: +19.1%
Draw 26.3%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -21.1%
Away 21.9%
Odds: 2.88 EV: -36.9%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 42.0% Odds: 2.35 -1.3%
Over 3.5 21.3% Odds: —
BTTS 45.0% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-0
4th 0-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

KF Tirana
1.49
Partizani T.
0.87

Model Suggestion

Home +19.1% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%
O2.5/Under 40%
BTTS/No 48%
Score Hit 40%
ROI -61.7%
Bet Hit 17% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
65%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.38)

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