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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 logo Spain flag Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Group 1 - 34 Estadio El Toralín· Ponferrada Saturday, April 25, 2026 16:30
Ponferradina logo Ponferradina PPG 1.63
1-1 HIT CS4
Tenerife logo Tenerife PPG 2.06
Home· +5.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.3%
Odds: 3.60 EV: +5.5%
Draw 35.3%
Odds: 2.75 EV: -2.9%
Away 35.4%
Odds: 2.15 EV: -23.9%
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 21.5% Odds: 2.70 -41.9%
Over 3.5 7.8% Odds: —
BTTS 30.0% Odds: 2.15 -35.5%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 0-1
3rd 1-0
4th 1-1
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Ponferradina
0.74
Tenerife
0.85

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.63) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.06)

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