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Copiapo vs San Marcos Prediction— Chile - Primera B

Regular Season - 9 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 16:30

Copiapo

PPG 1.75 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

San Marcos

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.4%0-114.1%0-27.4%0-32.6%0-4+0.9%1 1-012.8%1-113.5%1-27.1%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-06.1%2-16.5%2-23.4%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.0%3-12.1%3-21.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.6%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.2% — — —

Draw 30.7% — — —

Away win 37.2% — — —

Over 2.5 32.7% — — —

Over 3.5 14.5% — — —

BTTS 40.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 6.3%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob40.2%

D 31% / xG 1.0-1.1 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 14.1%

#2 1–1 13.5%

#3 0–0 13.4%

#4 1–0 12.8%

#5 0–2 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Copiapo1.0

San Marcos1.1

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 32.7% · O3.5 PROB 14.5%

Form & verdict PPG

COPIAPO · PPG 1.75

SAN MARCOS · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Copiapo (H) 32.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

San Marcos (A) 37.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Copiapo face San Marcos in Chile - Primera B on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Copiapo a 32% chance, the draw 31% and San Marcos 37%, so San Marcos are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Copiapo and 1.1 for San Marcos (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Copiapo are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.50 for San Marcos. This match finished 0-3.

Copiapo vs San Marcos Prediction— Chile - Primera B

Match Preview & Prediction

More Chile - Primera B Predictions