Rukh Lviv vs Karpaty Lviv Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Ukraine - Premier League Regular Season - 25 Arena Lviv· Lviv Saturday, April 25, 2026 15:00

Rukh Lviv PPG 0.91

0-3 MISS

Karpaty Lviv PPG 1.58

Draw· -2.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Rukh Lviv face Karpaty Lviv in Ukraine - Premier League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rukh Lviv a 19% chance, the draw 27% and Karpaty Lviv 54%, so Karpaty Lviv are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Rukh Lviv and 1.4 for Karpaty Lviv (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rukh Lviv are averaging 0.91 points per game versus 1.58 for Karpaty Lviv. This match finished 0-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 18.5%

Odds: 4.80 EV: -11.2%

Draw 27.2%

Odds: 3.60 EV: -2.1%

Away 54.3%

Odds: 1.62 EV: -12.0%

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.7% Odds: 2.05 -26.8%

Over 3.5 16.6% Odds: 3.70 -38.6%

BTTS 38.3% Odds: 1.95 -25.3%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 0-2 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Rukh Lviv

0.70

Karpaty Lviv

1.42

Model SuggestionAway -12.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -12.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5/Under 63%

BTTS/No 68%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 57% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.58) vs Home POOR (0.91)