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Chennaiyin vs Sporting Delhi Prediction— India - Indian Super League

India - Indian Super League logo India flag India - Indian Super League Regular Season - 9 Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium· Chennai Friday, April 17, 2026 11:30
Chennaiyin logo Chennaiyin PPG 0.33
1-0 MISS
Sporting Delhi logo Sporting Delhi PPG 0.80
Away· +98.0% ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away
65% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Chennaiyin face Sporting Delhi in India - Indian Super League on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chennaiyin a 17% chance, the draw 24% and Sporting Delhi 59%, so Sporting Delhi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Chennaiyin and 1.7 for Sporting Delhi (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chennaiyin are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 0.80 for Sporting Delhi. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +98.0%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 17.2%
Odds: 2.00 EV: -65.6%
Draw 23.7%
Odds: 3.30 EV: -21.8%
Away 59.1%
Odds: 3.35 EV: +98.0%
Model lean: Away
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.6% Odds: 1.85 -15.6%
Over 3.5 24.2% Odds: 3.10 -25.0%
BTTS 44.8% Odds: 1.67 -25.2%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1
2nd 0-2
3rd 1-1
4th 1-2
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Chennaiyin
0.79
Sporting Delhi
1.71

Model Suggestion

Away +98.0% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away.

League Track Record

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%
O2.5/Under 57%
BTTS/No 62%
Score Hit 60%
ROI 5.8%
Bet Hit 60% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away
65%
DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.33) vs Away POOR (0.80)

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