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Dornbirn vs Kuchl Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 26 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 15:00

Dornbirn

PPG 2.25 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Kuchl

PPG 2.09 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 71.1% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7% — a clear edge.

+15.2% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-14.2%0-23.4%0-31.9%0-4+1.1%1 1-05.1%1-18.5%1-27.0%1-33.8%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.2%2-18.6%2-27.1%2-33.9%2-4+2.3%3 3-03.5%3-15.8%3-24.8%3-32.6%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-14.7%4+-23.9%4+-32.1%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.8% 47.6% 2.10 -1.7%

Draw 21.3% 26.7% 3.75 -20.1%

Away win 31.9% 37.0% 2.70 -13.9%

Over 2.5 71.1% 61.7% 1.62 +15.2%

Over 3.5 50.1% — — —

BTTS 70.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob70.2%

H 47% / xG 2.0-1.7 / O2.5 71% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.6%

#2 1–1 8.5%

#3 2–2 7.1%

#4 1–2 7.0%

#5 3–1 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dornbirn2.0

Kuchl1.7

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.1% · O3.5 PROB 50.1%

Form & verdict PPG

DORNBIRN · PPG 2.25

KUCHL · PPG 2.09

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.25), Away EXCELLENT (2.09)

Win probability 1X2

Dornbirn (H) 46.8%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -1.7%

Draw 21.3%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -20.1%

Kuchl (A) 31.9%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -13.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dornbirn face Kuchl in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dornbirn a 47% chance, the draw 21% and Kuchl 32%, so Dornbirn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Dornbirn and 1.7 for Kuchl (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dornbirn are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 2.09 for Kuchl. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +15.2%. This match finished 2-0.

Dornbirn vs Kuchl Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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