Today / Macedonia - First League / Makedonija vs Rabotnicki

Makedonija vs Rabotnicki Prediction— Macedonia - First League

Regular Season - 29 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 14:00

Makedonija

PPG 1.23 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Rabotnicki

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.23) > Away POOR (0.86)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-18.5%0-24.8%0-31.8%0-4+0.7%1 1-010.9%1-112.4%1-27.0%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.9%2-19.0%2-25.1%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.8%3-14.4%3-22.5%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.2%4+-21.3%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.4% 43.5% 2.30 +2.1%

Draw 26.0% 32.3% 3.10 -19.4%

Away win 29.6% 37.0% 2.70 -20.1%

Over 2.5 48.0% 47.6% 2.10 +0.8%

Over 3.5 26.3% — — —

BTTS 52.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 32%

ROI 6.8%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 23%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.1%

H 44% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 1–0 10.9%

#3 2–1✓ 9.0%

#4 0–1 8.5%

#5 2–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Makedonija1.5

Rabotnicki1.1

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.0% · O3.5 PROB 26.3%

Form & verdict PPG

MAKEDONIJA · PPG 1.23

RABOTNICKI · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.23) > Away POOR (0.86)

Win probability 1X2

Makedonija (H) 44.4%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV +2.1%

Draw 26.0%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -19.4%

Rabotnicki (A) 29.6%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -20.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Makedonija face Rabotnicki in Macedonia - First League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Makedonija a 44% chance, the draw 26% and Rabotnicki 30%, so Makedonija are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Makedonija and 1.1 for Rabotnicki (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Makedonija are averaging 1.23 points per game versus 0.86 for Rabotnicki. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +2.1%. This match finished 2-1.

Makedonija vs Rabotnicki Prediction— Macedonia - First League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Macedonia - First League Predictions