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Jamshedpur vs Chennaiyin Prediction— India - Indian Super League

India - Indian Super League logo India flag India - Indian Super League Regular Season - 10 JRD Tata Sports Complex· Jamshedpur Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00
Jamshedpur logo Jamshedpur PPG 2.20
4-1 MISS
Chennaiyin logo Chennaiyin PPG 1.00
Home· +7.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Jamshedpur face Chennaiyin in India - Indian Super League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jamshedpur a 60% chance, the draw 31% and Chennaiyin 9%, so Jamshedpur are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Jamshedpur and 0.3 for Chennaiyin (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 20% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 19% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jamshedpur are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 1.00 for Chennaiyin. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +7.8%. This match finished 4-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 59.9%
Odds: 1.80 EV: +7.8%
Draw 30.8%
Odds: 3.30 EV: +1.6%
Away 9.4%
Odds: 4.10 EV: -61.5%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 19.7% Odds: 2.00 -60.6%
Over 3.5 6.9% Odds: 3.45 -76.2%
BTTS 18.7% Odds: 1.80 -66.3%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 2-0
4th 1-1
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Jamshedpur
1.22
Chennaiyin
0.31

Model Suggestion

Home +7.8% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.20) vs P(Home)=59.9%

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