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Estonia - Meistriliiga logo Estonia flag Estonia - Meistriliiga Regular Season - 9 Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00
Nomme Utd logo Nomme Utd PPG 1.50
2-1 MISS
Kuressaare logo Kuressaare PPG 0.75
Home· +41.4% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 84.7%
Odds: 1.67 EV: +41.4%
Draw 8.2%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -68.0%
Away 7.2%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -71.9%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 94.9% Odds: —
Over 3.5 87.1% Odds: —
BTTS 79.5% Odds: 1.50 +19.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 4-1
2nd 5-1
3rd 3-1
4th 4-2
5th 5-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Nomme Utd
4.64
Kuressaare
1.62

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%
O2.5/Under 65%
BTTS/No 46%
Score Hit 39%
ROI -3.3%
Bet Hit 67% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away POOR (0.75)

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