Worcester City PPG 1.50
Spalding Utd PPG 2.00Worcester City face Spalding Utd in England - Non League Premier - Southern Central on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Worcester City a 33% chance, the draw 25% and Spalding Utd 42%, so Spalding Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Worcester City and 1.5 for Spalding Utd (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Worcester City are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 2.00 for Spalding Utd. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +10.8%. This match finished 4-4.
Based on 22 resolved predictions
Home weakness: GOOD (1.50) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.00)