Haras El Hodood vs Wadi Degla Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Egypt - Premier League Relegation Group - 6 Harras El Hodood Stadium· Alexandria Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00

Haras El Hodood PPG 1.15

0-1 HIT CS2

Wadi Degla PPG 1.50

Home· +63.6% ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Haras El Hodood face Wadi Degla in Egypt - Premier League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Haras El Hodood a 30% chance, the draw 33% and Wadi Degla 37%, so Wadi Degla are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Haras El Hodood and 0.9 for Wadi Degla (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 34% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Haras El Hodood are averaging 1.15 points per game versus 1.50 for Wadi Degla. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +63.6%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 30.3%

Odds: 5.40 EV: +63.6%

Draw 33.2%

Odds: 3.10 EV: +2.9%

Away 36.5%

Odds: 1.72 EV: -37.2%

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 26.1% Odds: 2.40 -37.4%

Over 3.5 10.4% Odds: 4.50 -53.2%

BTTS 34.3% Odds: 2.10 -28.0%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✔

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Haras El Hodood

0.83

Wadi Degla

0.94

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5/Under 59%

BTTS/No 57%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 4.4%

Bet Hit 46% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.15) vs Away GOOD (1.50)