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The Bees vs Cape Town City Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Regular Season - 27 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 13:00

The Bees

PPG 1.85 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Cape Town City

PPG 1.62 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.85), Away GOOD (1.62)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.5%0-18.0%0-23.7%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-012.9%1-112.2%1-25.7%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.9%2-19.3%2-24.4%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.0%3-14.7%3-22.2%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-12.6%4+-21.2%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.0% — — —

Draw 25.8% — — —

Away win 23.2% — — —

Over 2.5 44.9% — — —

Over 3.5 23.6% — — —

BTTS 47.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 19.5%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.8%

H 51% / xG 1.5-0.9 / O2.5 45% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 12.9%

#2 1–1 12.2%

#3 2–0 9.9%

#4 2–1 9.3%

#5 0–0✓ 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

The Bees1.5

Cape Town City0.9

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.9% · O3.5 PROB 23.6%

Form & verdict PPG

THE BEES · PPG 1.85

CAPE TOWN CITY · PPG 1.62

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.85), Away GOOD (1.62)

Win probability 1X2

The Bees (H) 51.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Cape Town City (A) 23.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

The Bees face Cape Town City in South-Africa - 1st Division on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives The Bees a 51% chance, the draw 26% and Cape Town City 23%, so The Bees are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for The Bees and 0.9 for Cape Town City (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, The Bees are averaging 1.85 points per game versus 1.62 for Cape Town City. This match finished 0-0.

The Bees vs Cape Town City Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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