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Lerumo Lions vs Highbury Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Regular Season - 27 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 13:00

Lerumo Lions

PPG 1.38 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Highbury

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.38), Away AVERAGE (1.08)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-15.9%0-22.0%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-015.5%1-110.4%1-23.5%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.6%2-19.1%2-23.1%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-08.0%3-15.4%3-21.8%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-05.2%4+-13.5%4+-21.2%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.6% — — —

Draw 22.7% — — —

Away win 13.7% — — —

Over 2.5 43.8% — — —

Over 3.5 22.8% — — —

BTTS 40.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 19.5%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob40.4%

H 64% / xG 1.8-0.7 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 15.5%

#2 2–0 13.6%

#3 1–1 10.4%

#4 2–1 9.1%

#5 0–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lerumo Lions1.8

Highbury0.7

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.8% · O3.5 PROB 22.8%

Form & verdict PPG

LERUMO LIONS · PPG 1.38

HIGHBURY · PPG 1.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.38), Away AVERAGE (1.08)

Win probability 1X2

Lerumo Lions (H) 63.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Highbury (A) 13.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lerumo Lions face Highbury in South-Africa - 1st Division on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lerumo Lions a 64% chance, the draw 23% and Highbury 14%, so Lerumo Lions are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Lerumo Lions and 0.7 for Highbury (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lerumo Lions are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.08 for Highbury. This match finished 0-1.

Lerumo Lions vs Highbury Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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