Uthai Thani vs Port FC Prediction— Thailand - Thai League 1

Thailand - Thai League 1 Regular Season - 28 Uthai Thani Provincial Stadium· Uthai Thani Saturday, April 25, 2026 12:00

Uthai Thani PPG 1.46

0-1 HIT CS3

Port FC PPG 1.31

Home· +41.2% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Uthai Thani face Port FC in Thailand - Thai League 1 on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Uthai Thani a 33% chance, the draw 25% and Port FC 43%, so Port FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Uthai Thani and 1.6 for Port FC (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Uthai Thani are averaging 1.46 points per game versus 1.31 for Port FC. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +41.2%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 32.6%

Odds: 4.33 EV: +41.2%

Draw 24.5%

Odds: 3.70 EV: -9.3%

Away 42.8%

Odds: 1.67 EV: -28.5%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.7% Odds: 1.70 -5.3%

Over 3.5 33.4% Odds: 2.70 -9.8%

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.65 -3.5%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✔

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Uthai Thani

1.34

Port FC

1.57

Model SuggestionBTTS -3.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -3.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+41.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.46), Away AVERAGE (1.31)