Today / El-Salvador - Primera Division / Firpo vs Inter

Firpo vs Inter Prediction— El-Salvador - Primera Division

Apertura · Matchday 8 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 23:30

Firpo

PPG 2.28 · HOME

LAST 5

WWDWL

UPCOMING

Inter

PPG 1.49 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWWW

// Model verdict

BTTS 55% chance

Model probability 52.9% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-110.6%0-26.2%0-32.4%0-4+0.9%1 1-011.3%1-113.1%1-27.6%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-06.9%2-18.0%2-24.7%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.8%3-13.3%3-21.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.3%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.8% 50.0% 2.00 -28.4%

Draw 26.3% 30.3% 3.30 -7.9%

Away win 38.0% 31.3% 3.20 +21.6%

Over 2.5 50.4% 48.8% 2.05 +3.3%

Over 3.5 28.7% 29.9% 3.34 -2.5%

BTTS 52.9% 55.6% 1.80 -4.8%

Home O1.5 33.9% 48.5% 2.06 -30.2%

Away O1.5 33.2% 32.3% 3.10 +2.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -72.4%

Bet Hit 14%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 20%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.9%

A 38% / xG 1.2-1.2 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–1 10.6%

#3 1–0 11.3%

#4 0–0 9.2%

#5 1–2 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Firpo1.2

Inter1.2

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

FIRPO · PPG 2.28

INTER · PPG 1.49

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

Chance this pick lands

55%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.07, combined xG 2.39 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Firpo (H) 35.8%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -28.4%

Draw 26.3%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -7.9%

Inter (A) 38.0%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +21.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Firpo face Inter in El-Salvador - Primera Division on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Firpo a 36% chance, the draw 26% and Inter 38%, so Inter are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Firpo and 1.2 for Inter (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Firpo are averaging 2.28 points per game versus 1.49 for Inter. The best value bet our model finds is TT_AwayO05, with an expected value of +3.6%.

Firpo vs Inter Prediction— El-Salvador - Primera Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More El-Salvador - Primera Division Predictions