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Platense vs Inter Prediction— El-Salvador - Primera Division

Apertura · Matchday 7 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 21:30

Platense

PPG 1.61 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLDL

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Inter

PPG 1.31 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWWW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.3% vs bookmaker-implied 54.1% — a real, if thin, edge.

+0.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-110.3%0-27.3%0-33.5%0-4+1.7%1 1-08.7%1-112.4%1-28.8%1-34.2%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.2%2-17.4%2-25.3%2-32.5%2-4+1.2%3 3-02.1%3-13.0%3-22.1%3-31.0%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.2%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.0% 28.6% 3.50 +8.5%

Draw 24.6% 29.4% 3.40 -9.8%

Away win 44.4% 52.6% 1.90 -15.6%

Over 2.5 53.5% 50.0% 2.00 +7.0%

Over 3.5 31.5% 25.6% 3.90 +22.9%

BTTS 54.3% 54.1% 1.85 +0.5%

Home O1.5 32.3% 31.7% 3.15 +1.7%

Away O1.5 40.9% 45.5% 2.20 -10.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -72.4%

Bet Hit 14%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob54.3%

A 44% / xG 1.2-1.4 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 1–2 8.8%

#3 0–1 10.3%

#4 0–2 7.3%

#5 2–1 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Platense1.2

Inter1.4

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

PLATENSE · PPG 1.61

INTER · PPG 1.31

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.23 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Platense (H) 31.0%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +8.5%

Draw 24.6%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -9.8%

Inter (A) 44.4%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -15.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Platense face Inter in El-Salvador - Primera Division on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Platense a 31% chance, the draw 25% and Inter 44%, so Inter are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Platense and 1.4 for Inter (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Platense are averaging 1.61 points per game versus 1.31 for Inter. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +32.8%. This match finished 0-3.

Platense vs Inter Prediction— El-Salvador - Primera Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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