Today / Germany - Regionalliga - Nord / St. Pauli B vs Hannover 96 B

St. Pauli B vs Hannover 96 B Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

North - 31 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 12:00

St. Pauli B

PPG 0.79 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Hannover 96 B

PPG 1.53 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 74.3% vs bookmaker-implied 48.8% — a clear edge.

+52.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-16.3%0-28.8%0-38.1%0-4+11.1%1 1-02.3%1-16.4%1-28.8%1-38.2%1-4+11.1%2 2-01.1%2-13.2%2-24.4%2-34.1%2-4+5.6%3 3-00.4%3-11.1%3-21.5%3-31.4%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.5%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 11.0% 35.7% 2.80 -69.2%

Draw 14.7% 25.3% 3.95 -41.9%

Away win 74.3% 48.8% 2.05 +52.3%

Over 2.5 72.8% 71.4% 1.40 +1.9%

Over 3.5 52.3% 48.8% 2.05 +7.2%

BTTS 59.4% 72.5% 1.38 -18.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 77%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 3.3%

Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 76%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)2.8 BTTS prob59.4%

A 74% / xG 1.0-2.8 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.8%

#2 0–2 8.8%

#3 1–3 8.2%

#4 0–3 8.1%

#5 1–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

St. Pauli B1.0

Hannover 96 B2.8

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.8% · O3.5 PROB 52.3%

Form & verdict PPG

ST. PAULI B · PPG 0.79

HANNOVER 96 B · PPG 1.53

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.53) vs Home POOR (0.79)

Win probability 1X2

St. Pauli B (H) 11.0%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -69.2%

Draw 14.7%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -41.9%

Hannover 96 B (A) 74.3%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV +52.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

St. Pauli B face Hannover 96 B in Germany - Regionalliga - Nord on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives St. Pauli B a 11% chance, the draw 15% and Hannover 96 B 74%, so Hannover 96 B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for St. Pauli B and 2.8 for Hannover 96 B (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, St. Pauli B are averaging 0.79 points per game versus 1.53 for Hannover 96 B. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +52.3%. This match finished 0-1.

St. Pauli B vs Hannover 96 B Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

More Germany - Regionalliga - Nord Predictions